A series of cold fronts are crossing Victoria this week, bringing gusty winds, showers and some snow to the Alps.
The most rainfall is forecast for Friday, and southern and mountain regions are favoured to record the highest total precipitation.
The expected wet and windy conditions have led to the Bureau of Meteorology issuing a Severe Weather Warning for damaging winds - and a Warning to Sheep Graziers.
Check out the Bureau's website for any current warnings.
June to October typically has higher average wind speeds across the state, compared to other months.
The long-range outlook is showing increased chances of a wet end to 2020.
October to December is likely to be wetter than average across the eastern two-thirds of Australia, with chances above 80 per cent for much of the south east, including northern Victoria.
But of those three months, October is showing the strongest chances of above average rainfall.
The tropical Indian and Pacific Oceans are steering us towards the wetter conditions.
An increased chance of La Nina or a negative Indian Ocean Dipole, or both, developing in the coming weeks is pushing us towards at least a couple of months of above average rainfall to round-out the year.
Maximum temperatures for October to December are likely to be warmer than average along the coast and cooler than average in the north west, with no strong push either way for the rest of the state.
Minimum temperatures are very likely (with a greater than 80 per cent chance) to be warmer than average across Victoria - and in most of Australia.
This week's rainfall will be welcome in most parts.
Root zone soil moisture that was average, or better, from February to June for much of Victoria is now average to below average for most of the state - and very much below average at elevated parts of the east.
The drier soils follow a dry June, July and September to date (and a mostly average May and August).
Water storage levels across Victoria continued to rise over the past month.
Melbourne water storage is 77 per cent full, having risen 11.1 per cent in the past year.
Murray-Darling Basin water storages are 55.4 per cent full, up 15.1 per cent on this time last year.
And storages in the South East Coast drainage division are 41 per cent full compared to 35.7 per cent for the same time last year.
