Snow falls send shivers down the spines of some of the state's farmers

Coldest day in years could be followed by coming warmer weather

Weather
Snow was received in alpine areas of Victoria last week, but the weather in coming months could be warmer and drier for many of the state's farmers - before a likely wetter spring in some parts.

Snow was received in alpine areas of Victoria last week, but the weather in coming months could be warmer and drier for many of the state's farmers - before a likely wetter spring in some parts.

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Coldest day in years sends a big chill through Victoria's alpine areas.

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A cold front crossing Victoria last Friday delivered 10-25 centimetres of snow across the alpine resorts, with more follow-up on the weekend.

And the snow wouldn't have surprised some - as a handful of Bureau of Meteorology (BoM) sites recorded the coldest day in at least two years. These included Mangalore, Kilmore Gap, Redesdale and Strathbogie.

Looking ahead, the two-week outlook is showing most of Victoria is likely to be drier than average during the fortnight from July 11 to 24.

The August outlook is showing a wet signal for parts of Australia, but this doesn't extend as far south as Victoria.

In September, northern and eastern Victoria share an increased chance of above average rainfall - along with much of eastern Australia.

One of the reasons for this wet outlook for parts of the country is an increased chance of La Nina developing in the coming months.

There's about a 50 per cent chance La Nina could occur, which is roughly double the normal likelihood.

La Nina typically increases the chance of above average rainfall over much of Australia.

It wouldn't be winter without some frozen mornings and chilly days. But, overall, temperatures are likely to be warmer than average in the months ahead.

The outlook for both day and night temperatures is warmer than average during August and September.

Rainfall for the first half of 2020 was in the wettest 10 per cent of previous records for parts of central and north eastern Victoria.

Elsewhere, it was mostly average to above average - except for parts of East Gippsland, where it has been a drier than usual first six months of the year.

This is a contrast with 2019, 2018 and 2017 - when parts of the state had rainfall in the driest 10 per cent of records for January to June.

Root zone soil moisture is still above average across much of central Victoria and the north east following the wet start to the year overall.

But a drier than usual June means we are starting to see areas of below average soil moisture expand in the north west.

And spare a thought for East Gippsland - where some places haven't seen above average soil moisture since June 2019.

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