Seasonal determinations for high reliability water shares, throughout most of northern Victoria, have been increased.
Northern Victoria Resource Manager Mark Bailey has released his latest seasonal determinations and outlooks.
Dr Bailey said the improvements came from more water reaching the major storages than was estimated.
“Flows into the major storages have been higher than anticipated in the last fortnight, even without significant rainfall,” Dr Bailey said.
But he said the climate outlooks continued to favour drier conditions.
“The latest Bureau of Meteorology seasonal outlook indicates below-average rainfall is more likely across all of northern Victoria during the October to December period,” Dr Bailey said.
“The Bureau also says there is a 50 per cent chance that an El Niño event will develop in spring and a positive Indian Ocean Dipole could form during spring. Both an El Niño and positive Indian Ocean Dipole typically reduces rainfall in south-eastern Australia.”
The Murray system moves from 71pc of high-reliability water shares (HRWS) to 78pc.
The Goulburn system and the Loddon system increased from 56pc to 70 per cent HRWS.
The seasonal determination in the Broken system increased from four pc HRWS to 9pc.
The Bullarook system increased from 69pc HRWS to 100pc and 25pc of low‑reliability water shares.
The Campaspe system remained at 100pc HRWS.